A deepening low-pressure system, dubbed Jolina, is currently impacting weather conditions across the Mediterranean Sea, bringing strong winds and heavy rainfall to parts of North Africa. While the system is causing disruption in Libya, meteorological authorities in Egypt have confirmed that It’s not expected to directly affect the country. This assessment comes as concerns rise regarding potential impacts on maritime traffic and coastal areas.
The development of Jolina has been closely monitored by weather agencies across the region. Initial reports indicated the low-pressure system formed off the coast of Libya, quickly intensifying with associated wind speeds reaching up to 100 km/h. The potential for the system to evolve into a Mediterranean cyclone was similarly noted, raising concerns about its trajectory and potential for further intensification. However, current forecasts suggest Jolina will track eastward, primarily influencing the Gulf of Sirte, and will not pose a direct threat to Egypt. Masrawy.com reported on the situation earlier today.
Current Weather Conditions in Egypt
Despite the absence of a direct impact from Jolina, Egypt is experiencing varied weather conditions. The Egyptian Meteorological Authority (EMA) reported that Tuesday, March 17, 2026, began with cool mornings transitioning to mild daytime temperatures across most of the country. Southern Upper Egypt is experiencing warmer conditions, while nights remain cool nationwide. The EMA’s official Facebook page provided details on the current weather patterns.
A key concern for travelers and commuters is the presence of fog. The EMA has issued warnings about fog formation between 4:00 AM and 9:00 AM in northern regions, including Cairo, the Canal cities, and parts of the Sinai Peninsula and northern Upper Egypt. Visibility may be reduced in these areas, particularly on roadways. The authority advises caution and adherence to traffic safety guidelines.
Jolina’s Projected Path and Potential Impacts
Meteorological data indicates that Low Jolina is currently positioned off the Libyan coast and is characterized by strong wind speeds. The EMA reports that wind gusts could reach 100 km/h, accompanied by heavy rainfall and significant disruption to maritime navigation in the affected areas. The system is expected to progress eastward, potentially impacting the Gulf of Sirte in the coming days. However, the EMA has explicitly stated that the low-pressure system is not anticipated to have any direct impact on Egypt.
The potential for Jolina to develop into a Mediterranean cyclone was initially raised due to its rapid intensification and the favorable atmospheric conditions in the region. Mediterranean cyclones, also known as “medicanes,” are relatively rare but can bring intense rainfall, strong winds, and storm surges. While Jolina’s development is being closely monitored, current projections suggest it will remain focused on the Libyan and eastern Mediterranean coasts.
Regional Weather Outlook and Potential for Rainfall
Beyond the influence of Jolina, Egypt is expected to experience limited rainfall in certain areas. The EMA forecasts a chance of light showers along the northwestern coast, in the Western Desert, and in southern Upper Egypt, including the regions of Halayeb and Shalateen. These showers are expected to be intermittent and localized.
Low cloud cover is also anticipated across northern parts of the country, including Cairo and the Canal cities, potentially resulting in light drizzle. Active winds are expected in the Nile Delta region, which may stir up sand and dust in the Western Desert and along the northwestern coast.
Weather Changes Expected Wednesday, March 18, 2026
The EMA has indicated that weather conditions are expected to become more unstable starting Wednesday, March 18, 2026. This instability will likely manifest as varying intensities of rainfall and increased wind activity across much of the country. Wind speeds are forecast to range between 40-50 km/h, potentially causing dust storms and reduced visibility in some areas.