navigating the offseason: Five Players Facing Critical 2026 Crossroads
the hot stove season is a time for speculation, but also for realistically assessing players at pivotal points in their careers. Several athletes face notable questions heading into 2026, where their performance will heavily dictate their future roles and value. Here’s a breakdown of five such players, offering an experienced look at their situations and potential paths forward.
1. Alex Larnach, OF/DH, Minnesota Twins
Alex Larnach has flashed legitimate power, launching 32 home runs over the past two seasons. However, his success is heavily tied to favorable matchups.
* In 2024, Larnach thrived with a .771 OPS and 116 OPS+ while primarily facing right-handed pitching.
* His production dipped to a .727 OPS in 2025 as he saw more lefties, exposing a significant split in his numbers (.759 OPS vs.RHP,.585 OPS vs.LHP).
What to watch in 2026: If Larnach can refine his approach against southpaws, he could solidify himself as a valuable middle-of-the-order bat. Otherwise, you’ll likely see him relegated to a platoon role, limiting his overall impact.
2. MJ Melendez, OF, Kansas City Royals
Once a promising catching prospect, MJ Melendez has transitioned to the outfield due to both organizational depth and defensive concerns.Unluckily, the move hasn’t solved his issues.
* Despite hitting 16+ home runs and 21+ doubles in each of his first three seasons, Melendez’s overall hitting profile remains underwhelming.
* He’s a career .215 hitter with a .297 on-base percentage and a 90 OPS+, and spent much of 2025 in Triple-A.
What to watch in 2026: Melendez needs to demonstrate significant offensive enhancement to justify a consistent roster spot. You’ll want to see a refined approach at the plate and a higher batting average to offset his defensive limitations. Otherwise, his future in the majors is uncertain.
3. Ryan Mountcastle, 1B, Baltimore Orioles
Ryan Mountcastle burst onto the scene with a 33-homer, .796 OPS season in 2021. Though, his power numbers have steadily declined as.
* He finished 2025 with a career-low 83 OPS+ and only seven home runs in 89 games, hampered by a hamstring injury.
* The Orioles are now developing young talent at first base and DH, including Samuel Basallo, Coby Mayo, and newly acquired Taylor Ward.
What to watch in 2026: Mountcastle faces an uphill battle for playing time.He needs to regain his power stroke and stay healthy to prove he still has a role to play in a crowded orioles lineup. If he can’t, you might see him traded or released.
4. Evan Phillips, RP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Evan Phillips was a dominant force in the Dodgers bullpen from 2022-2024, racking up 44 saves and posting a 2.21 ERA with impressive strikeout numbers (10.4 K/9). Though, injuries have derailed his momentum.
* A partially torn rotator cuff sidelined him during the 2024 playoffs, and he underwent Tommy John surgery in May 2025.
* He’ll miss the start of the 2026 season during his recovery.
What to watch in 2026: The key question is how Phillips recovers from surgery. If he can regain his pre-injury form, he’ll be a valuable asset to the Dodgers. Though, Tommy John surgery carries inherent risks, and you’ll need to see him return to the mound with his previous velocity and command.
5.Jesús Sánchez, OF, Houston Astros
Jesús Sánchez possesses undeniable raw power, evidenced by a 496-foot home run at Coors Field. Yet,
