The situation in Yemen remains a complex geopolitical challenge, particularly concerning the relationship between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). For years, the UAE served as a key ally to Saudi Arabia in the conflict against the Houthi movement, but diverging regional interests have created tensions and reshaped the dynamics of the war. I’ve found that understanding these shifting alliances is crucial to grasping the ongoing instability in the region.
The UAE has consistently broadened its regional influence by supporting various groups it believes counter extremist Islamist ideologies. This proactive approach, while aimed at stability, has sometimes led to friction with its partners.
The Shifting Sands of Alliances in Yemen
Specifically, the UAE has provided support to Yemen’s Southern Transitional Council (STC), a separatist group seeking independence for South Yemen. This backing is intended to create a counterbalance to Islamist factions within the broader anti-Houthi coalition. Furthermore,the UAE has actively pursued securing maritime access in southern Yemen,a strategically vital area.
Despite years of close collaboration, Saudi Arabia and the UAE have experienced growing disagreements regarding regional policy and other critical issues. In December, Saudi Arabia viewed the STC’s takeover of territory as a move orchestrated by the UAE, leading to a diplomatic rift.
Following Saudi warnings, the UAE withdrew its troops from yemen. However, its support for the southern movement has not diminished, indicating a continued commitment to its strategic interests in the region.Here’s what works best: recognizing that even troop withdrawals don’t necessarily equate to a complete disengagement.
This recent crisis has undeniably fractured the coalition fighting the Houthis, complicating efforts to resolve the conflict. As of January 2024, the conflict has caused a severe humanitarian crisis, with over 18 million people in need of assistance (UNOCHA, January 2024).
