UFC 328 Picks, Odds, Predictions: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland Expert Best Bets

The Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, is set to host UFC 328, bringing a high-stakes championship clash to the Garden State with Khamzat Chimaev defending his middleweight belt against former champion Sean Strickland, according to recent fight promotional schedules. Fans and sportsbooks are actively reviewing the board for UFC 328 odds, lines, predictions, and start times as the organization finalizes its lineup for the Newark arena.

For combat sports enthusiasts mapping out their viewing schedule, the early prelims for the event kick off at 5:00 p.m. ET, while the main card gets underway at 9:00 p.m. ET, broadcasting on Paramount+ alongside traditional streaming channels like DAZN, as reported by BettingPros. The card features multiple high-profile bouts, including a flyweight title defense where champion Joshua Van puts his strap on the line against Tatsuro Taira.

Yet, all eyes in the middleweight division focus squarely on the main event collision between Chimaev and Strickland. The matchup pits two contrasting personalities and fighting philosophies against each other, setting up a definitive test of wrestling supremacy versus high-volume striking inside the octagon.

Chimaev’s Dominant Ascent and Betting Profile

Khamzat “Borz” Chimaev enters the title defense with an unblemished professional record of 15-0, backed by a dominant 9-0 run inside the UFC, according to data compiled by SportsNewsBreak. The 32-year-old champion captured the middleweight strap in August 2025 at UFC 319, where he earned a unanimous decision victory over Dricus du Plessis. Before that championship breakthrough, Chimaev logged high-profile wins over veteran contenders like Robert Whittaker and Kamaru Usman.

Statistical profiles from DraftKings Sportsbook place Chimaev as a heavy -575 favorite, meaning bettors must risk $575 to profit $100 on the undefeated champion. His metrics underline his relentless style: Chimaev lands 4.04 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.32, operating with a 60% striking accuracy. On the mat, he averages an extraordinary 5.29 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 55% success rate, complemented by 1.8 submission attempts per frame. His top pressure has drawn stylistic comparisons to legendary grapplers, having been taken down only once in his promotional career during the fifth round against Du Plessis.

Strickland’s Path to Redemption and Striking Prowess

Challenging for the crown is 35-year-old Sean Strickland, who brings a veteran record of 30-7 into the championship bout. Strickland rebounded from title setbacks against Du Plessis by securing a third-round knockout victory over Anthony Hernandez in February 2026, a performance that reaffirmed his status near the top of the division, as detailed by SportsNewsBreak. Strickland previously claimed the middleweight title in September 2023 by defeating Israel Adesanya in what was widely regarded as a major upset.

UFC 328 Picks, Odds, Predictions: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland Expert Best Bets
Photo: bettingpros.com

Positioned as a +425 underdog at DraftKings Sportsbook, Strickland enters the cage with a reputation for iron durability and relentless pace. He lands 6.04 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.57, holding the promotion’s record for the most significant strikes landed in middleweight history at 1,575. His overall significant strike total of 2,307 ranks second in UFC history. While his takedown defense sits at a sturdy 76%, analysts note that countering Chimaev’s elite wrestling remains the ultimate challenge for the former champion.

Expert Outlook and Wagering Value

Elite MMA analysts project a grueling test for the challenger, pointing out that Chimaev’s physical strength and wrestling pressure create a difficult stylistic puzzle. While Strickland has demonstrated improvements in his defensive grappling during recent bouts, oddsmakers and analysts view Chimaev’s wrestling pedigree as a decisive factor. Handicappers highlighting value on the board have pointed toward prop bets such as the fight not reaching the third round, sitting at plus odds of +130 on major sportsbooks, reflecting expectations of an early finish driven by Chimaev’s aggressive grappling and ground-and-pound capabilities.

UFC 328 odds
Photo: sportsnewsbreak.com

UFC 328 takes place at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, marking the venue’s return to hosting major pay-per-view events. Fans can follow official UFC weigh-in results, preliminary card announcements, and broadcast updates through the promotion’s official channels ahead of opening bell times.

UFC Fighters "Predict" Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland | UFC 328

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