Navigating the Proposed H-1B Visa Salary Rule: Impact, Challenges, and Future Outlook
The US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is considering meaningful changes to the H-1B visa program, specifically focusing on how salaries are persistent for foreign workers in specialty occupations. This proposed rule aims to prioritize higher-wage workers, perhaps reshaping the landscape for tech companies, startups, nonprofits, and the skilled immigration system as a whole. Understanding the nuances of this potential shift is crucial for employers, employees, and anyone interested in the future of H-1B visas. This article delves into the details, offering in-depth analysis, real-world examples, and expert insights to provide a comprehensive understanding of the proposed changes and their potential ramifications.
Did You Know? The H-1B visa program has a cap of 65,000 visas each fiscal year, with an additional 20,000 reserved for those with US master’s degrees or higher.
The Core of the Proposed Rule: salary as a Proxy for Skill
The proposed rule centers around revising the methodology used to determine prevailing wages for H-1B visa holders. currently, the DHS uses a four-tier system based on experience, education, and job duties. The proposed changes woudl shift towards a more data-driven approach, utilizing percentile-based wage levels for specific occupations and geographic locations.
David Foote, chief analyst and research officer at Foote Partners – a firm specializing in the human capital side of technology – succinctly points out a fundamental flaw in the premise: “Salary is not a proxy for skill level. It never has been.” This is a critical point. While higher salaries often reflect greater skill and experience, they are heavily influenced by geographic location and market demand.
Pro Tip: Employers should proactively analyze potential wage impacts based on different geographic locations and job levels. Utilizing salary surveys and consulting with immigration attorneys is highly recommended.
Foote illustrates this with a stark example: “Right now, a senior cybersecurity analyst in San Jose, that job is averaging almost $180,000 a year. That job in Grand Rapids, Michigan is about $108,000 a year.” The skill set required is identical, but the cost of living and local market conditions drastically alter the salary expectation. Applying a uniform percentile-based wage across such diverse locations could price out qualified candidates in lower-cost areas.
Geographic Disparities and Concentration of Talent
The current H-1B visa distribution already demonstrates a significant geographic concentration. As Foote notes, “the largest numbers of H-1B visas are in California, Texas, and Virginia.” This isn’t accidental. These states boast thriving tech hubs with established infrastructure and a high concentration of tech companies.
| State | Approximate % of H-1B Visas Approved (FY2023) |
|---|---|
| California | 28% |
| Texas | 11% |
| New York | 7% |
| Washington | 6% |
| Virginia | 5% |
Source: MyVisaJobs.com (Data as of November 2023)
The proposed rule is highly likely to exacerbate this trend. Companies will naturally gravitate towards locations where they can justify the higher prevailing wages, further solidifying the dominance of established tech centers. This creates a self-fulfilling prophecy, hindering the development of tech ecosystems in other regions.
Impact on Startups,Nonprofits,and Academia
The proposed changes pose a particularly significant challenge for startups,nonprofits,and academic institutions.These organizations often operate with limited budgets and rely on the H-1B program to access specialized talent they cannot readily find domestically.
Foote emphasizes that the rule “definately being a disadvantage for startups and nonprofits and academia as there’s a lot of hiring in those areas.” Start










