The big game in the middle of hell

#big #game #middle #hell

Efforts to redesign the Middle East through the blood of Palestinians continue. Egypt’s monitoring of Israel and the USA according to the Camp David Agreement, Jordan’s fixation on the Wadi al-Arab Agreement, Iraq’s confinement to the post-occupation status quo with strategic security agreement negotiations, the pressure on Yemen with the naval coalition, Iran’s While there are attempts to form an ‘air coalition’ to neutralize and push Hezbollah to the north of Litani in Lebanon, the real game is being staged in Riyadh.
Let’s name it briefly; The Saudi-American conversation, which has resurfaced in the middle of the genocide operation in Gaza, makes Palestine an appetizer for itself.
The genocidal war also created rifts in the American network in the region. The Biden administration is working hard to eliminate the cracks in its own alliance order and to save Israel’s future. Riyadh-focused initiatives are especially important. What is the goal of these efforts?
– First, limiting the relations developed by the Saudis with China and the Russians, bringing ‘strategic deprivation’ to the relations already established with the hostile axes; In this regard, returning to American dependency, especially in the field of defense.
– Secondly, by including the Saudis in the Abraham Accords, creating a snowball effect that will increase normalization with the Jewish state in the Arab-Islamic world. Using the Saudi-American strategic partnership agreement as a catalyst for Riyadh’s move towards normalization with Israel.
– Third, building an effective protection wall against Iran from the moment the Saudis shake hands with Israel. This barrier will continue on the axis of Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. In fact, according to Israeli commentators, Saudi-Israeli normalization may also attract countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia and Pakistan to this path. An assessment with an overdose of optimism.
In accordance with this fiction, the Biden administration had launched a strategic corridor plan that would economically connect Israel to the Arab heartland. Designed as a rival to China’s Belt and Road Initiative, the transportation corridor project starts from India, connects to Israel via the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Jordan, and then to Europe.

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The October 7 Al-Aqsa Flood and Israel’s genocidal war overturned many things. The Saudis were almost about to shake hands with Israel. Now they need some Palestine-related results to re-inflate the sails that propelled the Abraham Accords. While hosting his American counterpart Antony Blinken at the World Economic Forum in Riyadh, Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan stated that the Saudi-American agreement was nearing its end. He also emphasized that in order to normalize with Israel, there must be a reliable road map towards the establishment of a Palestinian state. Blinken also spoke clearly: “Two things are needed to move towards normalization: Calm in Gaza and a credible path to a Palestinian state.”
Despite the terrible situation in Gaza, the fact that 5 countries included in the Abraham Accords did not withdraw and the Saudis kept the door to negotiations open is an important result for the Biden administration.

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While the parties are preparing the strategic partnership agreement, the Americans insert the condition of recognition of Israel.
Israel preserves its reserves against the Saudi-American strategic agreement while giving the message that it is ready for normalization with the Saudis without making any commitments regarding Palestine.
Israel fears that the Saudi-American agreement will undermine its privileged position. There are important points that the Saudis want to see in the strategic agreement:
– First of all, in a possible conflict with Iran, will the USA protect Saudi Arabia without hesitation, just as it protects Israel? We understand that they want to tie this to a clear commitment. When Aramco facilities were hit, Donald Trump was in a “what the hell” mood. Against this negligence, the Saudis improved relations with China by saying “We diversify our partners.” Moreover, it did not accompany the US policy of isolating Russia. It also normalized relations with Iran under the mediation of Beijing. It was these three results that caused Biden to hug the neck of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, whom he treated as a ‘pariah’.
– Secondly, the Saudis want nuclear technology from the Americans to balance Iran. Israel, the only country in the region with an atomic bomb, sees an Arab country with nuclear capacity as dangerous, “in case things turn around tomorrow.”
– Third, the Saudis want advanced jets and weapons like the F-35. F-35 privilege in the region belongs only to Israel. Israel does not want anyone to come close to its superior position in defense. They had promised F-35 to the UAE in exchange for recognizing Israel, but they did a lot of tricks and avoided the sale.

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Israel could sabotage an American-Saudi agreement of this size. The way to convince the Jewish lobby in Congress is to establish the equation as “a Saudi-American strategic partnership agreement in return for recognizing Israel.” In his statement to the Financial Times, White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said that Biden will not sign the defense agreement with the Saudis before the agreement normalizing Saudi Arabia-Israel relations comes out. “You can’t separate one piece from the other,” he said. Although the Biden administration presents Saudi-Israeli normalization as a great reward for Tel Aviv in the bargain, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is unlikely to make a commitment regarding Palestine.
According to The Guardian, the Saudis may opt for a more modest deal that excludes Israel as a plan B if Netanyahu continues to oppose the creation of a Palestinian state.
New York Times writer Thomas Friedman, citing Saudi sources, reported that the Saudi-American agreement was 90 percent completed. According to Friedman, a few key points remain: How to control the civilian nuclear program; whether the defense commitment will be explicit (the US-Japan example) or less formal (the US-Taiwan example); Will the Saudis commit to continuing to price oil in dollars without switching to the Yuan?
According to Friedman, the Biden administration may take a draft agreement to Congress that includes a commitment that Saudi Arabia will normalize its relations with Israel when there is a government in Israel ready to meet the conditions.
The balance of power taking shape in the region is straining the USA; He feels obliged to please the Saudis to some extent in order to cut off China’s Middle East expansion.
Moreover, the Biden administration sees the costs of unconditional support for the genocidal war rising both at home and abroad. That’s why they are following ‘encouragement’ and nudge’ tactics to persuade Israel to agree to a ceasefire. Starting with the Saudis and expanding the Abraham Accords to other countries is one of these tactics.

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They need to give the Saudis something to present to the public regarding Palestine. Even if it’s a lie! Possible steps; Israel may make a commitment to allow a Palestinian state, or the United States may withdraw from recognizing Palestine in the UN Security Council. They may choose fraudulent ways out. After all, what is the value of the promise given to the Saudis in Tel Aviv? What did the 1993 Oslo Accords change that Israel’s commitment to the Saudis changed? American inconsistency is also evident. It was the USA that vetoed the bill recognizing the Palestinian state in the UN Security Council on April 18. Unless Israel is convinced, a different attitude is not expected from the American administration in the UN Security Council.
Donald Trump, who is preparing to unseat Biden, also argues that a two-state solution is not possible. Netanyahu boasts of making a Palestinian state impossible. People such as Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich argue that “the Palestinian state will be a terrorist state.”
A senior American official told the Saudi newspaper Ilaf, “Netanyahu rejected the American proposal to establish a Palestinian state in exchange for Riyadh’s recognition of Israel within the framework of Saudi-American bilateral agreements.” Netanyahu also stated that he is ready to normalize with the Saudis without making any commitments regarding Palestine.
According to Israel’s Kan television, Riyadh sent the following message to Tel Aviv through the Americans: “The military operation against Rafah will distract the two sides from the normalization plan. Such a situation would make Saudi Arabia a traitorous country. “Riyadh cannot lose its status among Islamic countries.”
In his article on April 26, Friedman stated that the diplomacy carried out by the USA turned into a single option for Netanyahu: “Which do you want more: Rafah or Riyadh?”
Criticizing Tel Aviv’s stubbornness to enter Rafah, he said, “Revenge is not a strategy. “It is sheer madness that the Israeli military leadership and the entire political class allow Netanyahu to pursue complete victory, including the immersion in Rafah, without any exit plan in hand,” he said.
In his article on May 2, Friedman stated that the Biden administration is faced with an unprecedented situation that creates a great opportunity and a great danger: “To put it bluntly, while Mohammed bin Salman is imprisoning his country’s worst religious extremists (500 people), Netanyahu is imprisoning his country’s worst religious extremists.” he recruited religious extremists into his cabinet… The result of Netanyahu’s alliance with the far right is that Israel cannot benefit from the tectonic shift in Saudi Arabia…”
It is not surprising that Mohammed bin Salman, who dismembered journalist Jamal Khashoggi for the opportunity to surround China and block Iran, is now praised for the changes he has made in his country.
Authors such as Friedman warn that this course of events will lead to disasters for Israel: “Hamas cannot be destroyed this way”;
“Israel is isolated, becomes a pariah”;
“It will never again find a coalition to defend itself, as it did in the Iranian attack”;
“Israel’s enemies, including Iran, become stronger”;
“US-Israel relations will deteriorate”;
“Without offering a two-state solution, Arab regimes cannot remain in a position to defend Israel.”
And so on.

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The USA attributes a scenario based on Saudi-Israeli normalization as ‘groundbreaking’ in terms of American interests. For those who look at the issue from this perspective, Netanyahu and his fanatic cabinet are turning into a nightmare within the American dream.
As if there is no continuity in the policy of genocide and apartheid against the Palestinians…
It is as if Israeli governments are alone in their policies that make a Palestinian state impossible in Palestinian lands…
As if the American governments were not the number one supporter and guarantor of the 75-year genocide policy.